Our Products
Newsletter Advisories
Trading Research
VIP Services
Our Tools
Death Cross Trader Alerts
Death Cross Trader: Back From San Francisco!
- 8/8/2008
Let's talk quickly about the market...
Hello From San Francisco!
- 8/6/2008
It's Day 2 here at the inaugural Taipan Global Opportunities Summit...
Death Cross Trader: Portfolio Update
- 7/31/2008
Death Cross Trader: Portfolio Update
A Quick Heads-up
- 7/30/2008
No specific portfolio updates today...
Sell Half for Gains!
- 7/28/2008
As we expected the market rolled over...
Hit the Trigger!
- 7/24/2008
Today's downside movement on the...
Catching the Next Falling Leg
- 7/23/2008
The major market is going through an upward correction...
Shorting the Major Market... Again!
- 7/16/2008
Last call! The whole gang at Taipan is going to...
Take Over 200% Gains!
- 7/15/2008
Remember back in May when everyone...
Sell Starbucks Corp!
- 7/11/2008
This year, we've been using Death Cross Trader to protect ...
Shorting a Long-Term Downtrend
- 7/9/2008
In this market, we're looking at buying longer-term puts...
Sell Half!
- 7/7/2008
While some traders didn't take bets that Starbucks Corp. (SBUX:NASDAQ) could continue to exhibit weakness in its chart, we did.
Starbucks Loses Its Grip
- 7/2/2008
I have a load of friends that have worked their way up...
Sell Fast For Gains!
- 6/30/2008
I'm in a gains-taking mood recently...
Sell For Gains As the Market Plummets!
- 6/26/2008
With the Dow down more than 300 points as I write...
A Good Second-Quarter Return
- 6/25/2008
We're doing very well for ourselves these days...
Sell Half!
- 6/23/2008
At the tail end of last week, I was...
Sell Half!
- 6/20/2008
Today, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF:NYSE) has fallen about $1.50...
People Still Aren't Buying It
- 6/17/2008
The major market continues to fall...
Take Gains of 50%
- 6/13/2008
The Dow is up 40 points this morning...
Semiconductor Growth Slows
- 6/11/2008
People still aren't buying like they used to...
Take 42% Gains!
- 6/6/2008
As expected, the market is starting its long-term breakdown...
Sell Half!
- 6/5/2008
There's a long line of red candlesticks on that...
Why We Don't Have to Worry
- 6/4/2008
The market has come up against resistance. It's going to continue to fall...
Heeding the Market Wizards' Advice
- 5/28/2008
"Play great defense, not great offense."
The Next Falling Leg
- 5/21/2008
This is the point where everything goes to hell in a hand basket...
The ConocoPhillips Chart
- 5/15/2008
Thank you for all of your...
Short Oil on Technicals
- 5/14/2008
First of all, we know that oil dropped $1 today because...
Trade Clarification
- 5/8/2008
I admit that once in a while I'm human...
Wrong Option Symbol on Kraft!
- 5/7/2008
I'm sorry for the inconvenience. I know that...
Short the Middle Man
- 5/7/2008
Food inflation is out of control...
Playing Housing and Credit Weakness
- 4/30/2008
Today, the Commerce Department admitted that...
New Trading Vehicle and Special Report!
- 4/22/2008
Until now in Death Cross Trader...
Take More Than 50% Gains!
- 4/22/2008
After selling one half of our...
A Possible Triple-Digit Gain!
- 4/21/2008
As I screened stocks this morning...
Sell Half for 30% Gains!
- 4/21/2008
The major markets are down today...
Portfolio Update
- 4/17/2008
What a volatile few weeks on the market...
Sell Alert!
- 4/15/2008
On April 10 we officially bought...
Short A Major Drug Maker
- 4/11/2008
It's interesting how trading recommendations come...
Shorting Specialty Retail
- 4/10/2008
New Downside Position on Specialty Retail
First-Quarter Update
- 4/2/2008
The first quarter of 2008 is now...
Take 22% Gains on BDK!
- 3/31/2008
Black & Decker (BDK:NYSE) has fallen...
A Speculative Trade From the Mailbag
- 3/26/2008
Early today, I read the following e-mail from your...
False Rally?
- 3/24/2008
According to the Stock Trader's Almanac...
Portfolio Update and Watchlist Stocks
- 3/20/2008
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied over...
Shorting A National Investment Brokerage
- 3/17/2008
Today's big news rocking the...
Take Gains on AMR!
- 3/13/2008
After only two days' worth holding time...
What Goes Down When Oil Goes Up?
- 3/10/2008
Today, crude oil hit a high of $107.85 per barrel...
Take Gains on DIA Puts
- 3/10/2008
Sell the rest of your DIA April 124 Puts...
Portfolio Update
- 3/7/2008
Sell Today for Gains Around 99%!
Portfolio Update
- 3/3/2008
We've been holding the Wells Fargo...
Portfolio Update
- 2/21/2008
Hold all current put positions...
IBM and MA Set to Drop
- 2/14/2008
Shorting Some Large Caps
Portfolio Update
- 2/13/2008
I feel extremely confident to hold...
DCT: Time to Buy Market Puts
- 2/5/2008
Playing the Falling Leg
Downgrades Lead to Downside
- 2/4/2008
Playing Weakness in the Banking Sector
Apple Puts Stopped Out
- 1/30/2008
Believe me, I hate it as much as you do...
Waiting Game in a Holding Pattern
- 1/29/2008
Currently, we're in a waiting game. The...
Stopped Out This Morning
- 1/28/2008
20% Stop Loss Triggered
Playing a Falling Apple
- 1/24/2008
Apple Bound to Continue Decline
Waiting for Strong Support to Break
- 1/23/2008
In this current calendar year...
Contract Correction
- 1/17/2008
May not March Puts
Playing a Downside Channel
- 1/17/2008
Take Over 150% Gains!
Options Portfolio Update
- 1/11/2008
94% on FDX!
Buy Puts on Safeway
- 1/3/2008
Our First Downside Candidate of 2008!
Sell Brunswick and Target Puts
- 1/2/2008
Back in the Saddle
Happy Holidays
- 12/27/2007
Exit MBIA second half for 100% gains
It's not rocket science
- 12/20/2007
It's a recession
Death Cross Trader
- 12/13/2007
Tech is Cheap
Death Cross Trader
- 12/6/2007
Retail Stocks Gift Gains
Death Cross Trader: Dirty Dozen Dumps Tremendous Profits
- 11/27/2007
Our puts soar over the drop in housing
Death Cross Trader: Expect gains on this sinking ship
- 11/21/2007
Big ticket items are down and out
New Play in Luxury Goods
- 11/9/2007
New Play in Luxury Goods
Death Cross Trader: No bottom in housing
- 11/1/2007
Here's how to play it
Death Cross Trader: Good news and Bad news
- 10/26/2007
After everything he's put investors through, Countrywide's Mozilo would now have investors believe that everything will be peachy in Q4.
Death Cross Trader: Take Autonation gains... Buy CFC puts
- 10/25/2007
Like a schizophrenic two year old, Wall Street lost its mind on economic worries, sky-high oil, and a Middle East tension boil over...
Death Cross Trader: 130+ Trades and Counting... Here's another to chew on.
- 10/23/2007
Before earnings, exit half of the Autonation January 20 put options for gains.
Death Cross Trader: Housing Holds... and a New Buy.
- 10/22/2007
It's nice to see that Citigroup's Stephen Kim was wrong again. Oh, and don't feel bad for those that followed his advice. A sucker is born every minute.
On Radar... and Housing Holds
- 10/11/2007
Most stocks were down yesterday as the Dow plunged 140+ points, except the homebuilders. That's because bulls are propping them up with a baseless rumor that Toll Brothers is interested in buying Hovnanian. This comes a day after the Beazer cash infusion rumor. Both are false.
Housing: No Homebuilder Value. Hold.
- 10/5/2007
Homebuilders have no value. They are barely cash flow positive, and are now giving away homes for peanuts to reduce eight-plus months of glut. Yet, the naïve continue to buy. That's because Stephen Kim has convinced every one of a bottom.
Homebuilders: I'm Right. Kim is Wrong.
- 10/4/2007
A broker with the Morgan Florida Real Estate Group was quoted as saying, "I'm amazed Kim still has a job. This man is clueless and refuses to throw in the towel."
Housing: Rally Explained...
- 10/3/2007
This homebuilder rally is nonsense. There is no bottom. Investors are simply following guidance from Stephen Kim...
Homebuilders: Doubling Down
- 10/2/2007
Many stocks are down today on news that pending home sales plunged to its lowest level ever... that is, except the homebuilders.
Housing: Why Citigroup Upgraded...
- 10/1/2007
Before getting into why Citigroup may have upgraded the homebuilders, let's review the similarities between October 1987 and October 2007 as hopes of a rate cut trap the bulls.
Death Cross Trader: Out of SLM Just in Time... Plus, housing numbers are worse than they appear.
- 9/28/2007
Yes, new home sales plunged 8.3% in August to the lowest in more than seven years. Sure, inventory glut may have fallen 1.5% in August to 529,000, but that's 8.2 months of glut. And, yes, the median home price fell 7.5% year over year to $225,000. That's the worst showing since December 1970.
Death Cross Trader Position Update: Exit SLM Put
- 9/26/2007
I'm not a big fan of leaving good gains on the table. As we near October expiraton on the SLM put options, we're recommending that you take gains. I'm not a big fan of time decay loss either.
Housing: Revisiting Falling Knife Favorites
- 9/24/2007
Exorbitant rate cuts may have provided that needed psychological boost, but the party's over...
Autos: Shorting on Downside Risk
- 9/19/2007
Despite the excessive rate cuts, it's not going to slow down coming foreclosures, housing delinquencies, or credit card payment delinquencies.
Death Cross Trader: What to Look for...
- 9/18/2007
What scares me about Bernanke's move is the Fed boss' inability to take one position and stick with it...
Death Cross Trader: Half point rate cuts... I was wrong.
- 9/18/2007
Inflation will now become a problem. Six months from now, we'll be right back where we started with the housing and lending mess. Oil is surging past $81.56 on its way to $85. Gold is at $716 and rising. The only thing that the rate cut has successfully done is save the hedge funds, housing and the big banks.
Death Cross Trader: On Radar...
- 9/18/2007
We're waiting for the Fed rate cut decision, and for tomorrow's U.S. Energy Department report on crude oil supplies before issuing new buys. I don't want to buy ahead of these and get burned.
Death Cross Trader Position Update: XAU
- 9/13/2007
We'll look to buy puts and short CFC after the latest run.
Death Cross Trader Position Update: CFC and XAU
- 9/11/2007
"Ian, thanks for the gain on the CFC puts. I'm still holding. I'm not complaining, but why does it keep dropping?"
Death Cross Trader Position Update: Arena Pharmaceuticals
- 9/11/2007
There are some days when I hate the stock market. This is one of those days.
Death Cross Trader Q&A
- 9/11/2007
Cutting rates will lead to inflationary problems, crush the dollar, and make the mortgage mess worse than it already is.
Death Cross Trader Update: Positions Update
- 9/10/2007
On T. Boone Pickens bullishness and opportunties in Papua New Guinea, IOC remains on hold.
Death Cross Trader: Profiting from the Demise of Sanity
- 9/10/2007
Goldman Sachs may believe we'll see a 50 basis point rate cut on September 18. And, say reports, Bear Stearns is calling for the same. But even if the Fed agreed, they'd have to cut by 50 basis points... and no less.
Death Cross Trader Upate: Countrywide and Capital One
- 9/6/2007
We may have already taken gains on the Countrywide (CFC) puts, but we're hearing that some of you held. For those of you that did, the underlying stock fell beneath our target price of $18 today. That's despite last week's run on the Bush Administration news, which will only help (maybe) 10% of the 2.5 million homeowners that could lose their homes.
Death Cross Trader Diary: Consumers turning plastic
- 9/5/2007
We're not holding our breath for a rate cut later this month, given inflationary pressures. Plus, the student loan industry could get roiled this week.
Death Cross Trader: Weekly Wrap
- 8/31/2007
I'm a bit aggravated by today's market move, seeing that there was no reason for it. Bush's proposal will only re-inflate a deflating bubble. And the Fed is not likely to cut rates.
Death Cross Trader Position Update: Exit TMA, CFC, and IMB puts... for now.
- 8/31/2007
Just weeks after announcing that he wouldn't bail out mortgages, President Bush is announcing how he'll do so later this morning.
Death Cross Trader Position Update: Thornburg on Hold
- 8/30/2007
Today, shares of TMA were halted, but that's because the company can't seem to tell the whole story.
Death Cross Trader: Checking in with new long and short opportunities
- 8/28/2007
The Dow plunged today as the Fed minutes failed to discuss a rate cut in the Fed funds rate. But as I've said ad nauseam a cut in the rates leads to worsening inflationary issues, a weaker dollar, and more mortgage woes.
Death Cross Trader Diary: Secrets of 10Q
- 8/23/2007
Take a look at the 10Q for FirstFed Financial.
Death Cross Trader After Hours Update: Countrywide
- 8/22/2007
If it wasn't a Buffett rumor pumping shares of CFC, it's the Banc of America.
Death Cross Trader Updated: IndyMac and Countrywide
- 8/22/2007
If Buffett were really interested in buying parts of CFC, we wouldn't know about it until afterwards.
Countrywide Update
- 8/21/2007
I'm sure you remember what happened to Hovnanian (HOV) shares after Buffett was rumored to be buying stake in that one, too.
Death Cross Trader: Going long and short
- 8/20/2007
This morning, the CEO said that investor confidence in mortgage is not doing well, and said that the company could not offer clear guidance on the dividend.
Death Cross Trader Diary... Plus, re-short CFC.
- 8/17/2007
Unconvinced that the Dow or CFC can sustain today's move, we're re-shorting CFC here with a recommendation to buy the...
Dow 12,400: I remain true... but won't ignore opportunities to go long.
- 8/17/2007
While I remain bearish in my 12,400 thinking, I won't risk our gains, nor will I ignore upside opportunities to profit.
Death Cross Trader Action Alert: Exit TMAVB if it falls under $2.80
- 8/17/2007
Between August 10 and August 15, 2007, we took 45% and 188% gains on our TMA October 20 calls (TMAVD). Countless brokerages downgraded the stock. The stock plummeted $6 in a day.
Mortgage: Sell Alert on CFCVY
- 8/15/2007
There are rumors swirling that the company has been unable to raise money from the commercial paper market.
Mortgage: Sell Alert on TMAVD
- 8/15/2007
Now, after falling more than $12 in just days, Thornburg would have us believe that it'll eventually pay its dividend.
Mortgage: Update 2: Thornburg
- 8/14/2007
Our TMAVD positions are up more than 200%.
Mortgage: Thornburg Halted
- 8/14/2007
TMA plummeted $7 today. The move catapulted our puts. Now, the stock has been halted.
Meltdown: Inflation... and more red for Thornburg
- 8/14/2007
Our TMAVD puts now trade at about $10. There's a likelihood of further downside for the stock given recent downgrades, and mortgage problems.
Mortgages: Thornburg Plunges $3+
- 8/10/2007
Finally, some one gets the fact that housing and lending are in deep trouble. Finally.
Death Cross Trader Diary...
- 8/10/2007
Here's what happened at Death Cross Trader and the major indices this week.
And then there were 4...
- 8/8/2007
Up is the new down. Black is white.
Wall Street: Nothing has Changed...
- 8/8/2007
We've had a great share of winners in recent weeks, and we're, unfortunately, going to have our losers. But between yesterday and today, nothing has changed.
Credit Problems: Holding the Dirty Half Dozen +1
- 8/8/2007
Despite today's move on our half a dirty dozen +1, we're still holding with our stop losses in place.
Death Cross Trader: How are you?
- 8/7/2007
I'm good at taking care of friends, which is why I always want to know how you are doing. I want to know if you're lost with plays. I want to know if you need terminology explained. I want to know it there's a play...
Death Cross Trader: The Half a Dirty Dozen +1... How to Play
- 8/7/2007
Banking, housing, and lending stocks are rallying on hopes for a rate cut, and on hopes that the Fed is dovish with its remarks.
Death Cross Trader: The Half a Dirty Dozen +1
- 8/7/2007
As promised, these are the half a dirty dozen +1. However, we're not issuing buys just yet. We're safely waiting to hear what the Fed has to say today.
IndyMac: Updating and Exiting Half
- 8/7/2007
Two things... I'm working on th Dirty Half a Dozen report. I'm waiting to see what happens at the Fed meeting today with regards to language changes.
Death Cross Trader Update on Opens
- 8/6/2007
We've had a lot of great successes over the last few weeks, taking gains on Accredited Home, parts of IndyMac, Hovnanian, Standard Pacific, Toll Brothers, and even parts of Centex.
Housing: Exit second half of Accredited Home
- 8/3/2007
We exited half of the LEND September 7.50 calls (QFWUU) just yesterday for a max gain of about 119%. We're now recommending that you exit the second half here at about $3.35. We'll look to jump back into after the naivety parade passes through.
Housing: Accredited After Hours Update
- 8/2/2007
I've seen ridiculous... This takes the cake.
Housing: Update on second half of Accredited Home
- 8/2/2007
We're seeing a small bounce on LEND after the stock refilled the pre-Lone Star offer gap. It's now fighting for support at this level.
Housing: Accredited Home down another $2... Exit half for gains.
- 8/2/2007
Exit half of the LEND September 7.50 puts (QWFUU) here. From a $1.60 entry price, for example, that's a 116% gain since July 27, 2007. As of 9:45 a.m. ET, these last traded at $3.45.
Dow 12,400 by November 1, 2007... Mark these Words.
- 8/1/2007
Hefty multi-billion dollar funds are unraveling. Two Bear funds, with heavy exposure to mortgage, just filed for bankruptcy protection two weeks after telling investors that one of them was worthless, and that the other lost 90% of value. Investment banks are tumbling. Foreclosures are up more than 50% year to date. Homebuilder confidence is low. Housing prices are coming down. Credit is deteriorating.
Lending: LEND and IMB Crushed
- 8/1/2007
I just wanted to bring your attention to LEND and IMB this morning. They're down $2.25 and $2.20, respectively.
IndyMac: Cramer's Catching up... We're Re-Shorting...
- 7/31/2007
It's just nice to see that people are finally catching on to something my team and I have been saying for quite a while.
IndyMac: Take your gains
- 7/31/2007
The housing market is a mess. IndyMac just got finised telling us that they anticipate for 2H 2007 and 2008 to be challenging...
IndyMac and Dendreon
- 7/31/2007
IndyMac opened at $23.98 this morning ahead of earnings. In less than an hour, it went from that $23.98 high to less than $21.
Good News and Bad News... with Buys and Sells
- 7/31/2007
General Motors is leading the charge this morning, with solid earnings. Housing, credit, and lending may be deteriorating but no one cares.
Dow Jones: Update on Strangle Bet
- 7/30/2007
We're still holding both sides of the Dow Jones (DJ) strangle play.
Valueclick: Vindication
- 7/30/2007
At $30, we called for VCLK downside, as naive investors piled in.
Lending: Exiting the second half of the SPF Puts
- 7/30/2007
We've worked too hard for these gains to give anything back.
Lending: Going Short
- 7/27/2007
The August 10 puts are showing heavy volume of 1,340 intra-day, as the stock now trades some 30% below the offer price.
Dow Jones $60 Offer: Going... Going... Almost Gone.
- 7/27/2007
When you get a chance, and want to have some fun, watch shares of Dow Jones (DJ).
Housing: Standard Pacific Misses... and it's up. Plus, we're exiting the second half of the TOL puts.
- 7/27/2007
Our SPF put options remain on hold. How a company with $2 billion in debt and $3.84 million in cash is still functioning is beyond me.
Housing: Exit half of SPF puts
- 7/26/2007
I just got e-mail about the SPF puts, SPFUC and SPFXC, asking if we should bank some before tomorrow's earnings. And, after further review, it's not a bad idea.
How are you doing?
- 7/26/2007
I'd love to hear how you're doing with the housing-related puts positions.
Housing: Exiting half of IMB Puts
- 7/26/2007
It's a good thing we bought housing puts on the heels of the Buffett / Hovnanian rumor...
Housing: Buying these puts ahead of earnings
- 7/24/2007
I'm actually having a tough time writing this update. I've been laughing myself silly for the last half hour on Paulson's latest statement.
Financials: Bank the XLF puts
- 7/24/2007
We've worked too hard for our XLF puts gains.
Housing: Homebuilders spanked... How to Protect Gains...
- 7/24/2007
This is not a sell recommendation. We're simply showing you how to protect gains with trailing stop losses.
Dow Jones: Cautious Trading ahead of Bancroft Decision
- 7/20/2007
Note: This is a high risk hedged bet using a Dow Jones (DJ) strangle. If high risk isn't your "cup of tea", do not enter this trade. Wait for the next one.
Using the stop loss
- 7/19/2007
Bear Stearns mucks up the market, and costs investors their life savings, yet it's being bid up today.
Housing: Exiting halves and buying these...
- 7/18/2007
Centex is down another dollar today, bringing our January 40 puts to $3.05.
Black Wednesday?
- 7/17/2007
If you want to see ugly, wait until tomorrow's open. Not only must we now contend with further housing data, we must now contend with more problems at Bear Stearns, our latest catalyst for holding our XLF puts.
Dow Jones: Taking Gains before Bancroft Vote
- 7/17/2007
A tentative Dow Jones agreement may be on the table, but it has yet to be presented to the Bancroft family. That'll happen on Thursday.
Gold and Silver: According to RSI, XAU Ready to Pull Back
- 7/17/2007
While the XAU recently broke above channel, historical RSI has been a consistent bearish indicator.
Housing: Value in Homebuilders?
- 7/13/2007
Say the rumor mills, Buffett may be interested in taking a stake in Hovnanian, jetting homebuilder stocks for the day. That would mean that Buffett believes in the housing bottom.
Retailers: JCP Stopped
- 7/12/2007
Over the last week, shares of JCP took quite a pounding on the heels of Sears' warning.
Retailers: Holding JCP... Exiting half of others.
- 7/12/2007
Two and a half weeks ago, Murdoch expected Bancroft approval within two to three weeks, "if at all," say reports.
Dow Jones: The Fools!
- 7/6/2007
Do investors know what due diligence is?
Investing in Dendreon: Remembering and Re-Shorting Dendreon
- 7/3/2007
Dendreon (DNDN) is an old Death Cross Trader favorite. We watched as the stock tanked $11 in a day on our expectations of an approvable letter, which it got.
Starbucks: Doji at the 10-day
- 6/29/2007
An upgrade-induced bounce gives us a higher point to short.
Investing in Housing: Exit second half of TOL puts
- 6/29/2007
It doesn't matter how bad housing is, some one's proppin gup names in the sector.
Death Cross Trader: Let's Review...
- 6/28/2007
Experts would have us believe all is well. That, despite news that the housing slump, the worst since 1991, is expected to linger well into the New Year.
Retail Investing: Not Bailing on JCP
- 6/28/2007
The rules of Street, as so it seems, no longer apply to falling knives...
Rupert Murdoch: Walking Away?
- 6/27/2007
Murdoch has already announced that he's not raising his bid for Dow Jones. Plus, he's announced tha the is expecting approval from the Bancrofts within two to three weeks, "if at all."
Investing in Rumors: VCLK rumor now 0 for 6... going for 0 for 7... Plus, we're taking profits.
- 6/26/2007
If you're ever bored... in search of a good laugh... watch as the VCLK herd gets burned for the sixth time in three months.
Investing in Valueclick: Hold the puts... and buy these.
- 6/26/2007
If you see upside in VCLK today, do not be alarmed. After countless analaysts have called for a buyout and gotten it wrong, they're trying it again... and they'll get it wrong again.
Investing in Financials: MACD / DMI may spell doom for XLF
- 6/25/2007
Take a look at the put option activity for July. The July 2007 36 puts have open interest of 237,000. August 34 puts had Monday volume of 11,285 with open interest of 210,000...
Shorting Harley Davidson: Honda Denies Talks
- 6/25/2007
It seems Honda, too, wasn't too keen on the idea of buying HOG.
Investing in Valueclick: Buying on false rumor continuation...
- 6/22/2007
I received a question yesterday, and wanted to answer it here in case others had similar questions.
Shorting Harley Davidson: Honda Buying HOG?
- 6/22/2007
It'll never happen... Based on "corporate culture" and "regulatory" hurdles...
Investing in ALB: A Good Laugh... and a Sell.
- 6/20/2007
Some one at Matrix must not know how to read a chart, having upgraded...
Investing in ALB: Buying Puts
- 6/20/2007
We were taking a look at the slanted head and shoulders on AKAM, but the chart has basically bottomed...
Investing in Target: Out of Second Half
- 6/20/2007
On June 7, 2007, we exited half of our TGT July 62.50 puts for up to 33% gains in about two days.
Investing in Rumors: Rules of Confusion...
- 6/14/2007
When the naive realize the real impact of the housing market, it'll be too late...
Channel Trading: Second Half Stop
- 6/14/2007
The first half was exited on June 7, 2007 at $5.50 for a maximum gain of 28%...
Beige Book Rally: Be Prepared...
- 6/13/2007
Reportedly, the Mortgage Bankers Association will release its Q1 2007 report on mortgage delinquencies at a media conference tomorrow. On the Q4 2006 release of this data, the Dow, for example, sold off more than 200 points.
Investing with Higher Rates: How I stopped worrying, and learned to love the sell off...
- 6/12/2007
If today's fitful session is a precursor of things to come, we're in for a bad summer. For one, there's no chance of a rate cut. China is reporting that inflation rose at its fastest pace in more than two years.
Death Cross Trader: Nice while it Lasted...
- 6/7/2007
Unsold homes are continuing to exert pressures on rents...
Stop Losses: Imperative
- 6/6/2007
With all recommendations, we advise using stop losses. These limit downside risk.
Investing in Winn Dixie: Taking gains on a one-day $2 down move
- 6/6/2007
We expected for WINN to return to the mean... but not this fast.
Retail Investing: Bed Bath & Beyond Warns... Is TGT next?
- 6/5/2007
For BBBY to issue a warning is astonishingly bad, as the company rarely warns.
Investing with Bollinger Bands: WINN a near term loser
- 6/5/2007
If shares of Winn Dixie don't pull back near-term, there's something very wrong with the market.
Investing in China: Dumbfounded...
- 6/1/2007
Fortunately, I did hear that some of you exited the position the next day, as the option price gapped to $6.60.
Investing in China: FXI Bounces Back... for now.
- 5/31/2007
We called it right. We just weren't able to get out in time. A day after our recommendation, the puts moved to a high of $6.60 -- a one day move of about $1.10...
Investing in China: Trading Tax Pressures
- 5/29/2007
We could be witnessing the near-term end of China's exemplary run...
Investing in Lower Lows and Lower Highs
- 5/28/2007
A one year candlestick chart of Bunge is showing lower lows and lower highs, which may indicate further downside.
Solar Investing: First Solar
- 5/23/2007
While I did hear that some of you did well with the FSLR puts...
Solar Investing: You'll love this...
- 5/22/2007
A friend of the Death Cross Trader team sent me this information...
Investing in Solar: FSLR still on Hold
- 5/22/2007
When Suntech unlocked shares, it fell from $30 to less than $22. When Sunpower unlocked in May 2006, shares fell more than $12...
Investing in Rumors: MNST Drops as Expected
- 5/22/2007
The underlying stock is pulling back just as we had hoped. The rumor, again, isn't true. We are advising that you exit half of the put options for gains.
Investing in Monster.com: Still not convinced of a buyout...
- 5/17/2007
Still not convinced of MNST buyout
Investing in Unlocks: Update on FSLR Unlock
- 5/15/2007
FSLR is unlocking 20 million shares next week...
Investing in First Solar: Stopped Out of Second Half
- 5/10/2007
On May 1, 2007, we exited the firt half of the FSLR June 65 puts for gains as it trekked as high as $10.60 on the day.
Investing in Steel and Iron: Rio Tinto: No Approach
- 5/9/2007
Shares of Rio Tinto are up about $40 today...
Investing in Dendreon: The Expected Approvable Letter Arrived...
- 5/9/2007
The underlying DNDN stock is down $10 on the day, gapping down just as we hoped.
Investing in Marvel: The Spidey Factor
- 5/8/2007
Sure, the third installment of Spiderman banked a cool $148 million. And sure, Q1 profit more than doubled thanks to Spiderman returns.
Investing in Dendreon: Down another $1
- 5/8/2007
The only action I want you to take today is this. Exit the second half of the May 17.50 puts.
Investing in Solar: The Reason we sold half
- 5/4/2007
Wait until all of the earnings buzz runs its course. We'll look to buy more FSLR puts headed into the 20 million share unlock.
Investing in Monster.com: Gullible Traders
- 5/3/2007
There's a rumor that Monster.com could get bought out.
Investing in Solar: Lock in Gains
- 5/3/2007
As we speak, the underlying stock is down more than $1.40 headed into earnings.
Investing in Solar: Is Cramer for Real?
- 5/2/2007
This is a stock headed for a 20 million share unlock that's trading at 844 times earnings...
Investing in Solar: FSLR Crushed
- 5/1/2007
You have to feel bad for those that got bullish on Jim Cramer's cheerleading of a stock with a P/E of about 1,000...
Investing in Solar: Exiting and Looking On
- 5/1/2007
Exit only half of the FSLR June 65 puts (QHBRM). These last traded at $10 x $10.40. Hold the second half going into the May 15, 2007 unlock of 20 million shares.
Investing in Solar: First Solar in a Death Spiral
- 4/30/2007
There's still much more downside in store for FSLR given a coming oversupply of polysilicon, the pulling of the "Cramer" premium, and the 20 million share unlock on May 15, 2007.
Investing with Death Cross Trader
- 4/26/2007
It's highly unlikely that the drug will get full approval. It's likely to get an approvable letter, though, if the FDA listens...
Investing in Solar: FSLR Unlocking 20 Million
- 4/25/2007
The "unstoppa-'bull'" Dow may have run above 13K this morning...
Investing in Dendreon: Update on DIA and DNDN
- 4/23/2007
Twenty two days and counting... that's how much time the FDA has remaining on its legal deadline to make a decision that'll make or break Dendreon.
Trading with Stop Losses: Imperative
- 4/19/2007
As always, it's a good idea to have stop losses in place. They limit risk.
Investing in the Dow: Hedging the Rally
- 4/18/2007
While I do believe we'll see Dow 13K this year, we won't do so...
Investing in Dendreon: Down another Dollar
- 4/16/2007
It seems that Howard Sher has voiced concerns to the FDA.
Shorting Dendreon: Going below $20
- 4/11/2007
No one is looking forward to earnings season. No one. The market is looking ugly...
Investing in Dow Rumor: Not Interested in LBO
- 4/9/2007
Dow Chemical is seeing heavy interest following a Sunday Express article that says a group of Middle Eastern investors and U.S. LBO firms are preparing a $50 billion offer for the company...
Investing in Mortgage: CFC Update -- Anticipation of a Blue Monday
- 4/6/2007
Still defying gravity and mystifying investors, there are few signs of weakness in hiring even as the economy has slowed inside a year.
Investing in the Dow: Exit DIA April 123 Calls for Gains
- 4/5/2007
It looks like we were spot on with the Fremont bounce off the triple bottom call. the underlying stock is up more than 5% today.
Investing in Lending: Fremont Triple Bottoms - Bail for up to 90% gains
- 4/4/2007
While I do believe FMT has weak legs, I can't ignore today's triple bottom.
Investing in Lenders: Rules of Trading 101
- 4/4/2007
We are continuing to hold all open positions, including the Accredited Home puts.
Investing in Lending: Exit NDE Puts
- 3/29/2007
Since February 6, 2007, we haven't had a single loser.
Investing in Housing: Time to Short the Homebuilders
- 3/28/2007
Beazer Homes is already down $3 in pre-market on news that the FBI said it was among the agencies investigating possible fraud...
Investing in Mortgage Insurance: Mortgage Insurance may be at risk, too.
- 3/19/2007
We continue to be bearish on all of the subprime and Alt-A stocks.
Investing in Subprime: High Risk Trade
- 3/15/2007
We exited a bunch of subprime lender put for wild gains over the last few days.
Investing in Subprime: NEW now NEWC.PK
- 3/13/2007
Thanks to problems with subprime lenders, the Dow is down about 1% on the day.
Investing in Subprime: NEW Halted; More Opportunities to Short
- 3/12/2007
Shares of NEW were halted this morning on news that its lenders plan to cut off financing...
Investing in Subprime: Exit half of 3/5/07 recommended NEW puts
- 3/9/2007
While we strongly believe NEW will eventually file for bankruptcy protection...
Investing in Subprime Lenders: Taking more gains
- 3/8/2007
Until the Street's lovefest wraps up, we're taking some of our subprime gains off the table...
Death Cross Trader #152
- 3/5/2007
More gains to take
Death Cross Trader #151
- 3/5/2007
Misery loves sub-prime company
Death Cross Trader #150
- 3/2/2007
Wacky Volatility
Death Cross Trader #149
- 3/1/2007
Re-Entering Fremont
Death Cross Trader #148
- 3/1/2007
Exit NEW Puts... for now.
Death Cross Trader #147
- 2/28/2007
Take up to 255% Gains; Too Good to Pass Up
Death Cross Trader #146
- 2/28/2007
FMT Puts rally 40% on the day; plus, tag and bag up to 46% and 62% gains...
Death Cross Trader #145
- 2/27/2007
DIAs in the Money; Exit Half.
How to Invest in Sub Prime...
- 2/23/2007
Death Cross Trader #144
Death Cross Trader #143
- 2/13/2007
Rumors abound in options expiration week
Death Cross Trader #142
- 2/8/2007
Rumor of Bad Press Tomorrow
Death Cross Trader #141
- 2/8/2007
Bank half of the FMT puts, too.
Death Cross Trader #140
- 2/8/2007
Numbered Days of the NEW
Death Cross Trader #139
- 2/6/2007
Special Report: Sub-prime Death Appeal
Death Cross Trader #138
- 2/5/2007
This is Ridiculous...
Death Cross Trader #137
- 2/2/2007
Under Armour Under Water
Death Cross Trader #136
- 2/1/2007
Still Trading at a "Super Premium," says Cramer
Death Cross Trader #135
- 2/1/2007
UA Crushed
Death Cross Trader #134
- 1/31/2007
Pull your stop losses on X
Death Cross Trader #133
- 1/30/2007
Load up on more X...
Death Cross Trader #132
- 1/25/2007
Third Gain of the Day: Sell the QQQQs...
Death Cross Trader #131
- 1/25/2007
Gap Down
Death Cross Trader #130
- 1/25/2007
X Marks the Spot... Again.
Death Cross Trader #129
- 1/25/2007
BBBY Plowed
Death Cross Trader #128
- 1/22/2007
BBBY and UA
Death Cross Trader #127
- 1/22/2007
Before the Market Opens...
Death Cross Trader #126
- 1/18/2007
Stubborn UA
Death Cross Trader #125
- 1/12/2007
Gravestone Markings
Death Cross Trader #124
- 1/12/2007
We got the healthy Apple pullback
Death Cross Trader #123
- 1/12/2007
Oil at 19-Month Low
Death Cross Trader #122
- 1/11/2007
Still Bullish on OIH
Death Cross Trader #121
- 1/10/2007
Healthy Apple Correction Coming?
Death Cross Trader #120
- 1/8/2007
Gap "Gap" Questionable
Death Cross Trader #119
- 1/5/2007
Reversing Course
Death Cross Trader #118
- 1/5/2007
OIH Still Dropping; Dow Crushed... as Expected.
Death Cross Trader #117
- 1/4/2007
OIH down another $3
Death Cross Trader #116
- 1/4/2007
Dow falling as predicted
Death Cross Trader #115
- 1/4/2007
Oil's well that ends well?
Death Cross Trader #114
- 12/29/2006
Is Another Dow Correction Imminent?
Death Cross Trader #113
- 12/27/2006
Nabors Plunges under $30
Death Cross Trader #112
- 12/20/2006
GT Update
Death Cross Trader #111
- 12/19/2006
Dow Correction Coming
Death Cross Trader #110
- 12/15/2006
Action to Take
Death Cross Trader #109
- 12/14/2006
Seeking Retracement
Death Cross Trader #108
- 12/12/2006
X Marked the Sweet Spot
Death Cross Trader #107
- 12/11/2006
Sheep headed for slaughter
Death Cross Trader #106
- 12/7/2006
Reiterations of Bearish Positions
Death Cross Trader #105
- 12/5/2006
Cramer Jack
Death Cross Trader #104
- 12/4/2006
X Marks the Spot
NTES Updated... and Confusion Cleared
- 11/29/2006
We have a long upper shadow followed by a hanging man followed by a doji cross near the top of the upper Bollinger Band.
Good News and Bad News
- 11/29/2006
Patterson did what we hoped it would do...
Ridiculously Overbought
- 11/28/2006
The bearish harami candlestick formed on Monday was just followed by a doji reversal signal.
Welcome to the Death Cross Trader
- 11/27/2006
I was going to wait until Wednesday to issue our first trades, but when our overbought indicators lit up...